BetsPal

How BetsPal works

A pick on BetsPal goes through three states: pending, live and settled. Settlement uses the final score of the real game, and your record is worked out from settled picks only. Here's each step, the maths behind the numbers, and a worked example you can check by hand.

BetsPal is free and just for fun. There is no real money, no stake and no bookmaker: odds and units only exist to score the record. 18+.

1. Posting a pick

You start from the fixture list of real upcoming games, not a blank text box. That matters: every pick is attached to one specific game, so there's never any doubt about which match you meant.

The pick is published to your followers with a timestamp. Sports covered: football (soccer), basketball, tennis, American football, baseball and ice hockey.

2. Settlement from the final score

After the final whistle, BetsPal checks the game's final score automatically. When the score is in, the pick is compared with it and marked:

There's no button that lets a tipster mark their own pick as a winner, and nobody at BetsPal settles picks by hand. The final score decides.

3. How win rate, ROI and form are calculated

NumberFormulaWhat it tells you
Win rateWon ÷ (won + lost)How often the tipster is right. Meaningless without the odds.
ProfitReturns from winners − total stakedUnits won or lost overall.
ROIProfit ÷ total staked × 100How much each unit staked earned. The best single measure of skill.
FormLast results in order, as W, L or VRecent run. Useful context, but short runs are mostly noise.

Flat-stake ROI. Leaderboard ROI assumes the same stake on every pick, one unit each. That stops a tipster from making a record look better by staking heavily on short-priced favourites that happened to win, and it lets you compare tipsters who stake differently. Returns on a winning pick are stake × decimal odds, so a 1u winner at 2.10 returns 2.10u, a profit of 1.10u.

4. A worked example

Eleven picks, one unit each:

#PickOddsResultReturns
1Arsenal to win1.90Won1.90u
2Over 2.5 goals2.10Won2.10u
3Celtics to win1.91Lost0
4Sinner to win1.80Won1.80u
5Under 2.5 goals1.75Lost0
6Dodgers moneyline2.50Won2.50u
7Under 51.5 points1.95Won1.95u
8Inter to win1.72Lost0
9Rangers moneyline2.20Voidstake returned
10Dortmund to win2.00Won2.00u
11Over 8.5 runs1.87Lost0

The average odds of the settled picks are 1.95, which means the break-even win rate is 1 ÷ 1.95 = 51.3%. Winning 60% at those prices is well above break-even, which is why the ROI is strongly positive. Over ten picks, though, that could easily be luck. Why sample size matters.

5. What makes a pick void

A pick is void when the game can't settle it: typically the match is cancelled, postponed or abandoned without an official result. A void pick:

6. Tail, Fade and My slip

Every pick on BetsPal can be answered by the people who see it:

Tails and fades are settled from the same final score as the original pick. They're for bragging rights only: no money or stakes are involved.

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